Wednesday, March 2, 2016

Marco Super-bio on Tuesday with gop-er Elites, But Not Much of Anyone Else, Making Waterboy Tuesday's Super Loser (& Voter Enthusiasm the Big Winner)...

The young Cuban Waterboy from Florida, Rubio the Repeating Robot (does this guy know any insult other than "con artist"?), has certainly coalesced most of the gop-er non-street elite (a/k/a "establishment") vote around him.  Only problem? There simply aren't enough of those old moth-ridden slimeballs to make much of a difference...

Result: Rubio after Super Tuesday has still yet to win a primary in a single real state (I don't count Minnesota, the same joint that once elected Jesse Ventura as governor and was the only state to vote for Fritz Mondale in 1984), and failed to get 20% (and therefore nary any delegates) in Texas.  What's more, Rubio likely loses even his home state in a few weeks (if he's still in the race at that point).

This leads to a related point (bear with me): While Hilary the Hoary (the certain democrat party nominee) remains a decided favorite to beat the gop-er nominee (almost certainly Trump), it would still make me a bit nervous on the leftist 20 percenter side of things that the gop-ers continue to turn out in record numbers at these primaries, whilst democrat party turnout is mediocre at best. This ties into the gop-er elite discussion above...

At first blush, I'd almost be inclined to say that the lack of democrat party enthusiasm this year might be largely offset by the fact that so many of the gop-er elites -- notwithstanding heavy gop-er turnout overall -- have been saying they will under no circumstances vote for Trump.  But I have to very much question whether such offset will be of any significance at all, since I just don't think the gop-er elites have much in the way of total numbers (except in their massive bank accounts, of course) -- see Rubio's Super Tuesday performance.

So I'm officially now downgrading Hilary's chances of winning the presidency to 65% (down from my prior assessment of 75% last October).  The ever-corrupt, inherently dishonest Hilary continues to retain every general election advantage imaginable (electoral map demographics, lapdog media, etc.) over Trump or any other gop-er nominee -- except for that enthusiasm thing...

Don't completely discount that factor come November in a very non-conventional presidential year in which the typical rules don't apply to the crazy, cartoonish candidate (with an increasingly novel and interesting support coalition) that the gop-ers are likely to be putting up. From a pure political analysis standpoint, 2016 is as much uncharted water as any presidential election the ol' Rager has ever seen (and he's been watchin' for awhile now).